Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Nov 13, 2023 at 2.05am UK

Estadio Leon

Club Leon
2 - 1
Juarez

Vinas (12', 44', 44'), Sanchez (38', 38')
Frias (40'), Frias (40'), Mena (45+1'), Mena (45+1'), Sanchez (50'), Sanchez (50'), Vinas (90+3'), Vinas (90+3')

FT(HT: 5-2)

Garcia (18', 18')
Talavera (8'), Talavera (8'), Mosquera (50'), Mosquera (50'), Salas (52'), Salas (52'), Garcia (76'), Garcia (77'), Rodriguez (90+6'), Osuna (90+7'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Saucedo (69'), Saucedo (70'), Talavera (90+6'), Talavera (90+5'), Talavera (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Juarez, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 5-4 Club Leon
Saturday, November 4 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Queretaro
Monday, November 6 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Club Leon.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Juarez
67.75% ( 0.79)	17.84% ( -0.38)	14.41% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.95% (

0.93)

34.05% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.08% (

1.05)

55.92% (

-1.05)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.77% (

0.43)

9.22% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.79% (

1.03)

31.2% (

-1.02)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

0.06)

36.32% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

0.06)

73.11% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Club Leon 67.75%

Juarez 14.41%

Draw 17.84%

Club Leon	Draw	Juarez
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.71% Total : 67.75%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.84%	1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 14.41%