Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.