Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.