Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
3 - 0
Atlas

Dinenno (26' pen.), Huerta (56'), Del Prete (88')
Rivas (29'), Huerta (68'), Rivas (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bass (64'), Abella (70'), Zapata (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Pumas
Wednesday, November 1 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 0-2 Pachuca
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawAtlas
45.5% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)25.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)29.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)48.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)70.42% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)21.24% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)54.14% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)30.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.43% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 45.5%
    Atlas 29.38%
    Draw 25.11%
PumasDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29.38%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pumas
2-2
Atlas
Dinenno (35'), Diogo (45+6')
Lozano (43'), Quinones (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 12
Atlas
0-0
Pumas
Feb 21, 2022 2am
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-0
Pumas
Dec 6, 2021 1am
Atlas
0-1
Pumas
Santamaria (29')
Mozo (17')
Dinenno (90+3')
Dec 3, 2021 3am
Pumas
0-1
Atlas
Furch (43')