Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
31.95% ( 0.09)	24.89% ( 0.07)	43.17% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.01% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.27)

46.14% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.57% (

-0.26)

68.44% (

0.27)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

-0.08)

27.46% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

-0.1)

62.95% (

0.1)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

-0.19)

21.4% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

-0.29)

54.4% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 31.95%

Toluca 43.17%

Draw 24.89%

Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.17%