MX23RW : Monday, May 13 22:02:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 3
Toluca

Cambindo (27', 89'), Garnica (43')
Fentanes (31'), Paradela (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Meneses (6'), Belmonte (68'), Unsain (77' og.)
Pereira (30'), Vega (58')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Necaxa
Saturday, February 3 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawToluca
31.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.89% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 43.17% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.274 -0.27)46.14% (0.279 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-0.261 -0.26)68.44% (0.265 0.27)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.46% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)62.95% (0.102 0.1)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (-0.188 -0.19)21.4% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (-0.292 -0.29)54.4% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 31.95%
    Toluca 43.17%
    Draw 24.89%
NecaxaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.072 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Toluca
0-0
Necaxa
Baeza (36'), Morales (70')
Gonzalez (10'), Poggi (52'), Formiliano (64'), Esquivel (64')
Apr 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
3-0
Necaxa
Fernandez (31' pen.), Gonzalez (52'), Volpi (71' pen.)
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Necaxa
1-3
Toluca
Formiliano (39')
Araos (54'), Mendez (68'), Villalpando (74')
Fernandez (3'), Huerta (24'), Sanvezzo (69' pen.)
Fernandez (25'), Volpi (32'), Baeza (49')
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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