CONCACAF Champions League
Feb 7, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
  • John Jairo Ruiz Barrantes 10' redcard
  • John Jairo Ruiz 10' redcard
  • Orlando Galo 66' yellowcard
  • Orlando Galo 66' yellowcard
  • Deyver Vega 88' goal
  • Deyver Vega 88' goal
  • goal Federico Pereira 16'
  • goal Federico Pereira 16'
  • yellowcard Victor Manuel Arteaga Camarena 36'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 36'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 45'+2'
  • goal Robert Morales 59'
  • goal Robert Morales 59'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 73'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 73'

Herediano vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Herediano

Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Herediano win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toluca in this match.

Result

Herediano 36.54% (-0.45)
Draw 23.68% (+0.03)
Toluca 39.78% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.62% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.65% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 39.35% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 38.31% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 61.68% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 20.8% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.19% (+0.13)

Herediano Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 21.65% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 45.23% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 54.77% (+0.46)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 20.08% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 47.68% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 52.31% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Herediano 36.54%
Draw 23.67%
Toluca 39.78%
Herediano
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 36.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.35% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
Toluca
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.6% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.59% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 39.78%