Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
2 - 0
Atlas

Montano (64', 64'), Rubio (88', 88')
Diaz (75'), Diaz (75'), Rubio (90+5'), (90+5'), Rubio (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nervo (46'), Nervo (47'), Lozano (66')
Santamaria (51'), Santamaria (51')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 3-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 3 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 5 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawAtlas
35.13% (0.508 0.51)26.7% (0.279 0.28)38.17% (-0.786 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.826 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-1.082 -1.08)53.21% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.925 -0.93)74.77% (0.925 0.92)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-0.212 -0.21)28.92% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.265 -0.27)64.79% (0.267 0.27)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)27.12% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-1.247 -1.25)62.5% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 35.13%
    Atlas 38.16%
    Draw 26.7%
MazatlanDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.352 0.35)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.13%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.329 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2am
Gameweek 13
Atlas
1-3
Mazatlan
Zapata (22')
Rocha (54'), Nervo (66')
Rocha (90+1')
Loba (12', 32'), Maduena (90+7')
Alvarado (64'), Gonzalez (88'), Diaz (90+5')
Jan 13, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Atlas
2-1
Mazatlan
Sep 8, 2022 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Benedetti (32')
Apr 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 14
Atlas
1-2
Mazatlan
Oct 16, 2021 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Sanvezzo (7' pen.)
Antonio Padilla (54'), Rubio (58'), Freitas (80')

Reyes (5'), Nervo (35'), Chala (43')
Reyes (17')