Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 16, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 2
Santos Laguna

Gonzalez (51', 51'), Rivera (70' pen., 70' pen.)
Balanta (44'), Balanta (44'), Rivera (56'), Rivera (56'), Gomez (82'), Gomez (82'), Blanco (90+8'), Blanco (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopez (28', 28'), Prieto (90+4', 90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 3-3 Tijuana
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 10 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawSantos Laguna
49.53% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)24.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.27% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.145 0.14)46.32% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (0.136 0.14)68.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)18.76% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)50.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (0.232 0.23)31.58% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (0.267 0.27)67.98% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 49.53%
    Santos Laguna 26.27%
    Draw 24.19%
Club TijuanaDrawSantos Laguna
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 11
Santos Laguna
2-1
Tijuana
Preciado (17'), Torres (78')
Aquino (20'), Vergara (45+2'), Repetto (75'), Hipolito Holguin Perez (90+6')
Rodriguez (25')
Herrera (21'), Rivera (78'), Rivera (79+79')
Mar 13, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Santos Laguna
3-2
Tijuana
Correa (45', 52'), Doria (74')
Canelo (45+4'), Rodriguez (60')
Aug 26, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Tijuana
0-2
Santos Laguna
Brunetta (56'), Correa (78')
Mar 14, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Santos Laguna
4-0
Tijuana
Aguirre (15'), Medina (89'), Preciado (90+5')
Lopez (90+5')
Sep 11, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
2-1
Santos Laguna
Lorona (45+2'), Pavez (56'), Manotas (83')
Otero (51'), Prieto (77'), Doria (90+7')