Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 0
Tijuana

Dominguez (52'), Meneses (63')
Belmonte (16'), Vega (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castaneda (36'), Diaz (69')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna
Thursday, February 22 at 1am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-3 Tijuana
Saturday, February 17 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
62.84% (-0.273 -0.27)19.63% (0.195 0.2)17.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.536 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62% (-0.776 -0.78)36.38% (0.781 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49% (-0.853 -0.85)58.52% (0.859 0.86)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (-0.294 -0.29)11.08% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (-0.66 -0.66)35.45% (0.666 0.67)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.378 -0.38)34.04% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.412 -0.41)70.72% (0.42 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 62.84%
    Club Tijuana 17.53%
    Draw 19.63%
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.84%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.82% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 17.53%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (12'), Madrigal (18')
Balanta (74'), Barbosa (83')
Morales (90+6')
Araujo (74'), Morales (81'), Venegas (81'), Volpi (90+8')
Meneses (85')
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 12
Tijuana
3-3
Toluca
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
3-1
Tijuana
Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Rivera (39' og.)
Canelo (26'), Castaneda (45+2'), Rodriguez (63')
Ruiz (17'), Montecinos (85')
Montecinos (25'), Rodriguez (30'), Rivera (36'), Orozco (90+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca
Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')