Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.