Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 27, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Gonzalez (19')
Blanco (14'), Rodriguez (57'), Diaz (87'), Zuniga (87'), Diaz (87'), Zuniga (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alvarado (66', 66')
Alvarado (5'), Orozco (82'), Gonzalez (87'), Gonzalez (87')
Gonzalez (90+5'), Gonzalez (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 21 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Cruz Azul vs. Tijuana
Wednesday, January 31 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Guadalajara
Monday, January 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
Wednesday, January 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
44.87% (0.020000000000003 0.02)27.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)27.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.01100000000001 0.01)25.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)36.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)72.92% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 44.87%
    CD Guadalajara 27.9%
    Draw 27.22%
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.9%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
1-0
Tijuana
Alvarado (67')
Orozco (47'), Alvarado (63'), Rios (90+5')

Balanta (47'), Diaz (90+7')
Cavallini (45+4')
Feb 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (39' pen., 90' pen.)
Lertora (26')
Sep 8, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 13
Tijuana
1-2
Guadalajara
Di Santo (58')
Alvarado (47'), Olivas (67')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Perez (54')
Orozco (45+4')

Barbona (60'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
0-0
Guadalajara
Zaldivar (57'), Briseno (71')
rhs 2.0


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