Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Nov 12, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Fernandez (11', 11')
Rivas (52'), Rivas (52'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (73'), Salvio (75'), Salvio (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Padilla (56'), Padilla (56'), Mozo (81'), Mozo (81')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 3-0 Atlas
Sunday, November 5 at 6pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	CD Guadalajara
42.57% ( 0.25)	26.7% ( 0.27)	30.73% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-1.26)

54.18% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-1.07)

75.59% (

1.07)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8% (

-0.44)

25.19% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.07% (

-0.61)

59.93% (

0.62)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-1.01)

32.33% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-1.16)

68.84% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Pumas 42.56%

CD Guadalajara 30.73%

Draw 26.69%

Pumas	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.56%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.73%