Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.