Liga MX | 1st Leg
Dec 1, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Pumas

Beltran (43', 43')
Orozco (45+2'), Orozco (45+2'), Alvarado (83'), Alvarado (83'), Padilla (90+1'), Padilla (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Magallan (54'), Magallan (54'), Rivas (68'), Rivas (68')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, November 12 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pumas vs. Guadalajara
Monday, December 4 at 12am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, November 12 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pumas vs. Guadalajara
Monday, December 4 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
48.79% (-0.54 -0.54)23.96% (0.069000000000003 0.07)27.24% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (0.044999999999995 0.04)44.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)66.92% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.194 -0.19)18.37% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (-0.332 -0.33)49.5% (0.333 0.33)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.379 0.38)29.9% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.456 0.46)66% (-0.453 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 48.79%
    Pumas 27.24%
    Draw 23.96%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 1am
Gameweek 17
Pumas
1-0
Guadalajara
Fernandez (11')
Rivas (52'), Salvio (75')

Padilla (56'), Mozo (81')
Feb 19, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 8
Pumas
1-2
Guadalajara
Dinenno (76')
Rios (6'), Cisneros (33')
Aug 28, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Guadalajara
3-1
Pumas
Orozco (15'), Vega (38'), Alcala (40' og.)
Sanchez (50'), Sepulveda (60')
Diogo (3')
Diogo (18'), Alves (82')
May 9, 2022 1.15am
Guadalajara
4-1
Pumas
Calderon (45+3'), Juan Macias (81'), Beltran (82')
Velarde (9'), Ruvalcaba (47'), Ortiz (71')
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
3-1
Pumas
Vega (11'), Alvarado (44'), Angulo (60')
Rogerio (58')
Ruvalcaba (75'), Freire (87')