Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
63.27% ( 0.09)	18.68% ( -0.05)	18.05% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 63.48% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.3% (

0.21)

30.7% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.96% (

0.25)

52.03% (

-0.25)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.66% (

0.08)

9.34% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.52% (

0.19)

31.47% (

-0.19)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

0.1)

29.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

0.12)

66.09% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Toluca 63.27%

Santos Laguna 18.05%

Draw 18.68%

Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.27%	1-1 @ 8% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.68%	1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.6% Total : 18.05%