Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 19, 2024 at 2.10am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
0 - 0
Toluca

Berterame (90+1'), Romo (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (71'), Garcia (71'), Baeza (80'), Baeza (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Comunicaciones
Friday, February 16 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-3 Herediano
Friday, February 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawToluca
56% (0.184 0.18)22.06% (0.193 0.19)21.93% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.213 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-1.358 -1.36)41.12% (1.357 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (-1.395 -1.4)63.51% (1.396 1.4)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (-0.399 -0.4)14.56% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (-0.776 -0.78)42.61% (0.775 0.77)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-1.1 -1.1)32.4% (1.098 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-1.258 -1.26)68.92% (1.257 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56%
    Toluca 21.93%
    Draw 22.06%
MonterreyDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.426 0.43)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.285 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.93%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Toluca
1-0
Monterrey
Dominguez (26')
Garcia (9')

Vegas (30'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5')
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (17', 31')
Araujo (62')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Vegas (23'), Reyes (31'), Meza (73')
Apr 7, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Toluca
2-2
Monterrey
Fernandez (90+10' pen.)
Huerta (12'), Ortega (42'), Rodriguez (89')

Vegas (29'), Janssen (45+2'), Aguirre (90+6'), Montes (90+9')
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Gameweek 11
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Andrada (77'), Vegas (89')
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')