MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 21:06:17| >> :600:1953186:1953186:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 3
Herediano

Isais (5'), Angulo (45')
Isais (78')
Isais (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rojas (57'), Rodriguez (62'), Canales (84')
Rubio (42')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Toluca and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

Herediano

All competitions
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawHerediano
55.33% (0.362 0.36) 21.87% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 22.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.11 0.11)14.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.217 0.22)41.74% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.253 -0.25)30.56% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.299 -0.3)66.79% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.33%
    Herediano 22.79%
    Draw 21.87%
TolucaDrawHerediano
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 11pm
First Round 1st Leg
Herediano
1-2
Toluca
Vega (88')
Galo (66')
Jairo Ruiz (10')
Pereira (16'), Morales (59')
Arteaga (36'), Belmonte (45+2'), Baeza (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!