Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 29, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 1
Monterrey

Corona (58', 58')
Contreras (12'), Contreras (12'), Blanco (45+1'), Blanco (45+1'), Barbosa (71'), Barbosa (71'), Tona (73'), Tona (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Canales (84', 84')
Govea (67'), Govea (67'), Arteaga (79'), Arteaga (79'), Medina (83'), Medina (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Tijuana
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Tijuana vs. Club Leon
Monday, March 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Monterrey
Saturday, February 24 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Monterrey vs. Pumas
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawMonterrey
28.42% (0.032999999999998 0.03)26.16% (0.25 0.25)45.43% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.733 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.962 -0.96)53.06% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.824 -0.82)74.65% (0.828 0.83)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.48 -0.48)33.46% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.53 -0.53)70.09% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)23.3% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-0.797 -0.8)57.24% (0.8 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 28.42%
    Monterrey 45.42%
    Draw 26.16%
Club TijuanaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.42%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.42%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 2am
Gameweek 4
Monterrey
3-1
Tijuana
Funes Mori (30'), Gallardo (36'), Lopez (60')
Funes Mori (11'), Vegas (65')
Gonzalez (90+3')
Diaz (14')
Apr 2, 2023 2.15am
Aug 29, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Tijuana
0-3
Monterrey

Contreras (21')
Flores (38')
Berterame (61'), Aguirre (73' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Aguirre (23')
May 1, 2022 1.06am
Aug 28, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 7
Tijuana
2-2
Monterrey
Lorona (40'), Manotas (82')
Funes Mori (18'), Rodriguez (37')