Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.