Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Mar 10, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
3 - 0
Cruz Azul

Medina (36', 36'), Fagundez (69', 69'), Munoz (83', 83')
Doria (9'), Doria (9'), Mariscal (55'), Mariscal (55'), Fagundez (79'), Fagundez (79'), Munoz (84'), Munoz (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gutierrez (6'), Gutierrez (6'), Lira (45+1'), Lira (45+1'), Javier Gamboa Galarza (73'), Gamboa (73'), Huescas (90+5'), Huescas (90+5')
Ditta (59'), Ditta (59')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Cruz Azul
38.71% ( 0.06)	24.7% ( -0.13)	36.58% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.82% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.59)

44.28% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

0.57)

66.65% (

-0.57)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.3)

22.74% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

0.44)

56.42% (

-0.44)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.3)

23.86% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

0.44)

58.05% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 38.72%

Cruz Azul 36.58%

Draw 24.69%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.72%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.58%