Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Mar 9, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Gomez (29', 29'), Samudio (45+6', 45+6'), Mendez (90+3', 90+3')
Rodriguez (65'), Rodriguez (65'), Colorado (83'), Colorado (83'), Mendez (90+4'), Mendez (90+4')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Cruz (45+4', 45+4')
Villal (64'), Villal (64'), Manuel Sanabria (82'), Manuel Sanabria (82'), Gonzalez (90+8'), Gonzalez (90+7')
Villal (73'), Villal (73')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Atletico San Luis

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Atletico San Luis
37.28% ( 0.05)	26.26% ( -0.02)	36.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.37% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.73% (

0.08)

51.27% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.9% (

0.07)

73.1% (

-0.06)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

0.07)

26.71% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

0.09)

61.97% (

-0.08)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.02)

27.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

0.02)

62.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 37.28%

Atletico San Luis 36.46%

Draw 26.25%

Necaxa	Draw	Atletico San Luis
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.46%