Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Apr 1, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Club Leon

Necaxa
1 - 2
Club Leon

Garnica (64', 64')
Monreal (90+1'), Monreal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cervantes (61', 61'), Vinas (89', 89')
Tesillo (34'), Tesillo (34')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, March 16 at 11pm in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Leon
32% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)25.76% (0.031000000000002 0.03)42.23% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.189 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-0.204 -0.2)49.94% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-0.183 -0.18)71.92% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.259 -0.26)29.3% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.323 -0.32)65.27% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.024000000000001 0.02)57.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 32%
    Club Leon 42.23%
    Draw 25.76%
NecaxaDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.23%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 7
Club Leon
1-1
Necaxa
Madrid (74' og.)
Cortez (9')
Jan 17, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Club Leon
2-1
Necaxa
Sep 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 12
Necaxa
3-2
Club Leon
Gimenez (34'), Batista (45'), Cota (45+3' og.)
Davila (90', 90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 1am
Gameweek 7
Necaxa
0-1
Club Leon
Jurado (51'), Pena (72'), Medina (90+3'), Malagon (90+7'), Escoboza (90+7')
Barreiro (71'), Davila (89'), Rodriguez (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Club Leon
3-0
Necaxa
Davila (21', 52', 72')

Gonzalez (59')