CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Monterrey

Aviles (19', 19')
Gomez (33'), Gomez (33'), Alba (42'), Alba (42'), Ruiz (61'), Ruiz (61'), Busquets (76'), Busquets (76'), Suarez (89'), Sailor (90+3'), Sailor (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Meza (69', 69'), Rodriguez (89', 89')
Gallardo (45+3'), Gallardo (45+3'), Rodriguez (83'), Rodriguez (83'), Vegas (90'), Vegas (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Inter Miami and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monterrey

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monterrey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Monterrey
31.24% ( -4.15)	25.08% ( 0.49)	43.68% ( 3.65)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-3.39)

47.25% (

3.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

-3.23)

69.48% (

3.23)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

-4.15)

28.47% (

4.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

-5.53)

64.24% (

5.52)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

0.27)

21.64% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

0.42)

54.75% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 31.24%

Monterrey 43.68%

Draw 25.07%

Inter Miami	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.51) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.24%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1.34) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.08) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.58) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.23) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.68%