Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 11, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 1
Mazatlan

Arteaga (18', 18'), Berterame (38', 38')
Cortizo (29'), Cortizo (29'), Cortizo (29'), Cortizo (29'), Andrada (90+1'), Andrada (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Amarilla (59', 59')
Diaz (78'), Diaz (78'), Arciga Zarate (90+6'), Arciga (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Monterrey
Friday, March 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawMazatlan
76.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)15.29% (0.12 0.12)8.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.46% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.423 -1.42)39.9% (1.42 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.491 -1.49)62.26% (1.488 1.49)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.3% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)8.69% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (-0.77600000000001 -0.78)29.93% (0.773 0.77)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.69% (-1.508 -1.51)51.31% (1.505 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.45% (-1.027 -1.03)85.54% (1.025 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 76.49%
    Mazatlan 8.2%
    Draw 15.29%
MonterreyDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 13.3% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 10.83% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 6.62% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 76.49%
1-1 @ 7.27% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.29%
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.43% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.2%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2023 2am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
0-3
Monterrey

Colula (13')
Amarilla (16')
Rojas (51', 77'), Berterame (89')
Cortizo (41'), Vegas (50'), Moreno (74')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Mazatlan
0-2
Monterrey
Sep 4, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 12
Monterrey
0-0
Mazatlan
Mar 12, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 10
Monterrey
2-1
Mazatlan
Janssen (22'), Meza (80'), Vegas (90+9')
Diaz (57'), Intriago (86'), Sansores (88')
Diaz (90+2')
Aug 7, 2021 1am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
1-1
Monterrey
Vargas (28'), Vidrio (47'), Sanvezzo (74')
Vegas (24'), Villarreal Lozano (36'), Meza (66')
Villarreal Lozano (54'), Zapata (90+1')