FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
0 - 1
Monterrey


Nwobodo (26'), Nwobodo (26'), Baird (45+3'), Baird (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vazquez (24', 24')
Rodriguez (55'), Rodriguez (55'), Vegas (64'), Vegas (64')
Aguirre (70'), Aguirre (70')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between FC Cincinnati and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawMonterrey
40.81% (-0.199 -0.2)25.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)33.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.134 0.13)47.79% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.123 0.12)69.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.24% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.058 -0.06)57.16% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.199 0.2)27.1% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.259 0.26)62.49% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.81%
    Monterrey 33.81%
    Draw 25.38%
FC CincinnatiDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.81%