Major League Soccer
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Xherdan Shaqiri
45'
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Xherdan Shaqiri
45'
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Kellyn Acosta
55'
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Kellyn Acosta
55'
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Mauricio Pineda
66'
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Mauricio Pineda
66'
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Brian Gutierrez
90'+4'
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Brian Gutierrez
90'+4'
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Aaron Boupendza
39'
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Aaron Boupendza
39'
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Obinna Nwobodo
43'
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Obinna Nwobodo
43'
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Miles Robinson
68'
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Miles Robinson
68'
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Pavel Bucha
81'
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Pavel Bucha
81'
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Corey Baird
84'
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Corey Baird
84'
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
Result
Chicago Fire
36.4%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
24.37%
▲
(+0.04)
FC Cincinnati
39.23%
▲
(+0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
60.02%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.29%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
42.72%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
34.88%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
65.12%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 4.5
18.18%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
81.82%
▲
(+0.18)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5
76.76%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
23.25%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
42.84%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
57.16%
▲
(+0.47)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5
78.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
21.8%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
44.99%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
55.01%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Chicago Fire
36.4%
Draw
24.37%
FC Cincinnati
39.23%
Chicago Fire
2-1
@
8.22%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.4%
1-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.4%
Draw
1-1
@
11.26%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
2-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
FC Cincinnati
1-2
@
8.58%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%
0-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Luciano Acosta
83'
-
Luciano Acosta
83'
Major League Soccer
-
Kacper Przybylko
32'
-
Rafael Czichos
45'
-
Chris Mueller
46'
-
Junior Moreno
8'
-
Sergio Santos
84'
-
Junior Moreno
87'
Major League Soccer
-
Luciano Acosta
78'
-
Brandon Vazquez
89'
-
Jhon Duran
56'
-
Brian Gutierrez
59'
-
Jhon Duran
75'
Major League Soccer
-
Jhon Duran
83'
-
Junior Moreno
8'
-
Luciano Acosta
21'
-
Rafael Czichos
33'
(OG)
-
Luciano Acosta
85'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
41
-
Luciano Acosta
28'
-
Zico Bailey
30'
-
Brandon Vazquez
36'
-
Joe Gyau
48'
-
Geoff Cameron
80'
-
Tyler Blackett
90'+1'
-
Robert Beric
14'
-
Robert Beric
17'
-
Johan Kappelhof
45'+1'
-
Federico Navarro
68'
-
Alvaro Medran
71'
-
Gabriel Slonina
79'
-
Luka Stojanovic
90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
12
-
Alvaro Barreal
50'
-
Alvaro Barreal
79'
-
Brandon Vazquez
84'