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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaqiri (45' pen.)
Acosta (55'), Pineda (66'), Gutierrez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boupendza (39'), Robinson (68')
Nwobodo (43'), Bucha (81'), Baird (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both sides have certainly shown they have goals in them, and we expect a highly-entertaining clash here. That said, we can see the teams cancelling each other out over the 90 minutes and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
36.4% (-0.394 -0.39) 24.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 39.23% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (-0.228 -0.23)42.72% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.229 -0.23)65.12% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.313 -0.31)23.25% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.459 -0.46)57.16% (0.462 0.46)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.075999999999993 0.08)21.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (0.113 0.11)55.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.4%
    FC Cincinnati 39.23%
    Draw 24.37%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36.4%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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