Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaqiri (45' pen., 45' pen.)
Acosta (55'), Acosta (55'), Pineda (66'), Pineda (66'), Gutierrez (90+4'), Gutierrez (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Boupendza (39', 39'), Robinson (68', 68')
Nwobodo (43'), Nwobodo (43'), Bucha (81'), Bucha (81'), Baird (84'), Baird (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
36.4% ( -0.39)	24.37% ( 0.04)	39.23% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 60.02% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.29% (

-0.23)

42.72% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.23)

65.12% (

0.23)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.31)

23.25% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

-0.46)

57.16% (

0.46)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

0.08)

21.8% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

0.11)

55.01% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 36.4%

FC Cincinnati 39.23%

Draw 24.37%

Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 36.4%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.23%