Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7%).
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 51.36% | 24.41% | 24.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( | 48.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( | 71.06% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( | 19.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( | 50.65% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( | 34.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( | 71.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.22% |