Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 55.1% | 23.87% | 21.02% |
| Both teams to score 50.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% | 50.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% | 72.03% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.93% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% | 38.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% | 75.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.02% |