Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
3 - 0
Toronto

Barlow (45', 45'), Luquinhas (48', 48', 65', 65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Toronto
75.53% ( -0.16)	15.68% ( 0.21)	8.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.8% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36% (

-1.19)

39.64% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01% (

-1.25)

61.99% (

1.25)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.14% (

-0.33)

8.86% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.67% (

-0.8)

30.33% (

0.79)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.25% (

-0.92)

49.75% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.51% (

-0.66)

84.48% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 75.51%

Toronto 8.8%

Draw 15.68%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 75.51%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.68%	0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.8%