Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC 3 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 75.53% (-0.17)
Draw 15.68% (+0.21)
Toronto 8.8% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.8% (-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.36% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 39.64% (+1.19)
Over 3.5 38.01% (-1.26)
Under 3.5 61.99% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 20.56% (-0.99)
Under 4.5 79.43% (+0.99)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 91.14% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 8.86% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 69.67% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 30.33% (+0.80)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 50.25% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 49.75% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 15.51% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 84.48% (+0.66)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 75.51%
Draw 15.68%
Toronto 8.8%
New York Red Bulls
2-0 @ 12.94% (+0.33)
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.43)
3-0 @ 10.45% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 6.34% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.15)
5-0 @ 3.07% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.10)
6-0 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 75.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.46% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.41% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.68%
Toronto
0-1 @ 3.08% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.6% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 8.8%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Morgan 2' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 37' yellowcard
  • Luquinhas 56' goal
  • Cameron Harper 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayomide Akinola 26'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 31'
  • yellowcard Luca Petrasso 61'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2022 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Jesus Jimenez 35' goal
  • Carlos Salcedo 61' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Morgan 17'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 24'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 31'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 40'
  • goal Aaron Long 42'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 67'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 62' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 72' yellowcard
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 81' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patryk Klimala 46'
  • yellowcard Tom Edwards 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andrew Gutman 31' yellowcard
  • Frankie Amaya 32' goal
  • Frankie Amaya 59' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 69' goal
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 73'
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 25
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Dru Yearwood 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 24' goal
  • Brian White 26' goal
  • Jared Stroud 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Meara 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Mavinga 22'
  • goal Tsubasa Endoh 50'
  • yellowcard Jozy Altidore 85'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 90'+4'