Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Fabrice Picault 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 39'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 70'
  • goal John Tolkin 90'+4'

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 1.30am
Nashville 3 - 2 New England
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 3 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 50.73% (-0.04)
Draw 25.65% (+0.01)
New York Red Bulls 23.62% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.52% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.64% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.74% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.89% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.11% (-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 78.54% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.46% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.51% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.49% (+0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 61.78% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.21% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 25.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.98% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 50.73%
Draw 25.65%
New York Red Bulls 23.62%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.65%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Duncan Williams 37' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 76' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Gomes 1'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 14'
  • yellowcard Youba Diarra 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Jun 19, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fabio Gomes 37' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 56' goal
  • Patryk Klimala 58' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 71' yellowcard