Major League Soccer

Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Picault (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
50.73% ( -0.04)	25.65% ( 0)	23.62% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

0.02)

54.36% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

0.01)

75.74% (

-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.01)

21.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

-0.02)

54.49% (

0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.78% (

0.04)

38.21% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.02% (

0.04)

74.98% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 50.73%

New York Red Bulls 23.62%

Draw 25.65%

Nashville SC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.62%