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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
53.67% (0.169 0.17)22.71% (0.319 0.32)23.62% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-1.705 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (-1.987 -1.99)42.13% (1.986 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-2.021 -2.02)64.53% (2.02 2.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.643 -0.64)15.68% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (-1.204 -1.2)44.73% (1.204 1.2)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-1.488 -1.49)31.48% (1.487 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-1.759 -1.76)67.87% (1.757 1.76)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.67%
    Atlanta United 23.62%
    Draw 22.71%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.601 0.6)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.426 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Gameweek 32
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')