Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Robinson (90+7', 90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Camilo Hernandez (65', 65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
53.24% ( -0.55)	21.5% ( 0.06)	25.26% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 64.06% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.3% (

0.22)

34.7% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.34% (

0.25)

56.66% (

-0.25)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

-0.09)

13.24% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.98% (

-0.18)

40.02% (

0.19)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

0.49)

26.16% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

0.65)

61.24% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 53.24%

Columbus Crew 25.26%

Draw 21.5%

Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.24%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.26%