Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.