Major League Soccer

Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Fernandez (64')
Rodriguez (78'), O'Toole (89'), Perea (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
64.99% ( -0.01)	20.66% ( 0)	14.36% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

-0.01)

47.2% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

-0.01)

69.43% (

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25% (

-0)

13.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.97% (

-0.01)

41.03% (

0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3%

44.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

80.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 64.98%

Chicago Fire 14.36%

Draw 20.66%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.98%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.66%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.36%