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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Nov 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Mosquera (90+4')
Gaddis (30'), Boupendza (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lowe (11'), Carranza (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati (8-7 pen.)
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Philadelphia Union

Both teams will be without some key pieces to their lineup, but the overall depth of Cincy and the individual genius of Acosta has us leaning towards the Supporters' Shield winners getting the job done.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
50.83% (-0.415 -0.41) 22.97% (0.127 0.13) 26.2% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 59.69% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.357 -0.36)40.86% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.363 -0.36)63.25% (0.36 0.36)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)16.22% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.50599999999999 -0.51)45.71% (0.503 0.5)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)28.75% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.59% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 50.83%
    Philadelphia Union 26.2%
    Draw 22.97%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Philadelphia Union
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Cincinnati
Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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