Major League Soccer
Nov 26, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Ray Gaddis 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 11'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 51'

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm
Cincinnati 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
Philadelphia 0 - 0 New England
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 50.83% (-0.42)
Draw 22.97% (+0.13)
Philadelphia Union 26.2% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.69% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.13% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 40.86% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 36.74% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 63.25% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 19.58% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 80.41% (+0.28)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 83.78% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 16.22% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 54.28% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 45.71% (+0.51)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.75% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.59% (-0.04)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.83%
Draw 22.97%
Philadelphia Union 26.2%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.48% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 50.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.97%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.81% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.2%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 69' goal
MLS Playoffs
Oct 21, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leon Flach 59' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoff Cameron 34' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 50' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' yellowcard
  • Brenner 55' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 66' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 71' goal
  • goal Paxten Aaronson 77'
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alejandro Bedoya 17' goal
  • Cory Burke 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 39'
  • yellowcard Haris Medunjanin 55'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 57'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 62'
  • yellowcard John Nelson 68'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Gazdag 11' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 53' goal