Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Feb 25, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Toronto
  • Yuya Kubo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 2'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 34'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 54'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 82'

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 11.00pm
Cincinnati 2 - 3 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
Toronto 0 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 63.07% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 20.45% ▲ (+0.16)
Toronto 16.48% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.85% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 42.15% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 18.6% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 4.5 81.4% ▲ (+0.32)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 87.26% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 12.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 61% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 39% ▲ (+0.45)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 24.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.51% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 63.06%
Draw 20.45%
Toronto 16.48%
FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 63.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.45%
Toronto
0-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.48%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 4 4
FT BMO Field
Cincinnati
  • Jonathan Osorio 39' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 39' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 44' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 44' goal
  • Themi Antonoglou 74' yellowcard
  • Themi Antonoglou 74' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 84' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 86' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 28'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 28'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 35'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 35'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 72'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 72'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Toronto
  • Santiago Arias 35' goal
  • Santiago Arias 35' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' goal
  • Dominique Badji 63' goal
  • Dominique Badji 63' goal
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 5, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Toronto
  • Calvin Harris 2' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 57' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 59' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 75' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Ralph Priso-Mbongue 6'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 12'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 30, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Jesus Jimenez 65' goal
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Murphy 44'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 50'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 52'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Toronto
Sep 30, 2021 12.00am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 48' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 48' goal
  • Marco Delgado 55' goal
  • Marco Delgado 55' goal
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 59' yellowcard
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 60' yellowcard
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 65' goal
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 65' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 76' yellowcard
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Valot 32'
  • goal Ronald Matarrita 38'
  • yellowcard Edgar Castillo 41'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Vallecilla 59'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 72'
  • yellowcard Caleb Stanko 74'
  • yellowcard 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Cincinnati
Sep 12, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Toronto
  • Brenner 39' goal
  • Haris Medunjanin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Geoff Cameron 50' yellowcard
  • Haris Medunjanin 58' goal
  • Gustavo Vallecilla 84' yellowcard
  • Florian Valot 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Morrow 37'

Form Data

Cavalier 0 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 3 Columbus Crew
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Cincinnati 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Toronto 0 - 2 Orlando City
NY Red Bulls 3 - 0 Toronto
Charlotte FC 3 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 3 Cincinnati
NY City 3 - 0 Toronto
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Toronto