Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • 52' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 63'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 74'

Toronto vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 3 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 2 New England
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Toronto 36.62% (-0.01)
Draw 26.02% (+0.01)
Orlando City 37.35% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.73% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.26% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.78% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.22% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.17% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.83%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.84% (+0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 73.8% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.71%
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Toronto 36.62%
Draw 26.02%
Orlando City 37.35%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Facundo Torres 9' goal
  • Ercan Kara 22' goal
  • Lukas MacNaughton 47' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 84' goal
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Bradley 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 71'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 88'
  • goal Kyle Smith 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jozy Altidore 72' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 72' goal
  • Alexander Bono 76' yellowcard
  • Michael Bradley 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 68'
  • goal Nani 77'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 79'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Ayomide Akinola 10' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 39' goal
  • Marco Delgado 64' yellowcard
  • Omar Gonzalez 67' yellowcard
  • goal Tesho Akindele 1'
  • goal 8'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 70'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 75'
  • goal Junior Urso 84'
  • yellowcard Nani 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tesho Akindele 12' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 21'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 22'
  • yellowcard Auro 63'