Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.