Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Uhre (55', 55'), Gazdag (90+3', 90+3')
Andres Martinez (86'), Andres Martinez (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gutierrez (39', 39'), Herbers (82', 82')
Pineda (45'), Pineda (45'), Brady (69'), Brady (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Philadelphia
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
47.11% ( -0.01)	24.73% ( 0.01)	28.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

-0.05)

47.31% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

-0.04)

69.54% (

0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.02)

20.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58% (

-0.03)

52.42% (

0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

-0.03)

30.65% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

-0.03)

66.9% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 47.11%

Chicago Fire 28.16%

Draw 24.72%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.11%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.16%