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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Uhre (55'), Gazdag (90+3')
Andres Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gutierrez (39'), Herbers (82')
Pineda (45'), Brady (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Philadelphia
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire

There are too many unknowns in Chicago right now, so we are going with the Union, who have been among the most consistent MLS sides in the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
47.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.42% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.9% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 47.11%
    Chicago Fire 28.16%
    Draw 24.72%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 20
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9531138518
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932499011
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Houston DynamoHouston841398113
6St Louis City92611514112
7Austin FCAustin93331213-112
8Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
10Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93241414011
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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