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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Uhre (55'), Gazdag (90+3')
Andres Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gutierrez (39'), Herbers (82')
Pineda (45'), Brady (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Philadelphia
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire

There are too many unknowns in Chicago right now, so we are going with the Union, who have been among the most consistent MLS sides in the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
47.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.42% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.9% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 47.11%
    Chicago Fire 28.16%
    Draw 24.72%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 20
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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