Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 50.1% ( | 24.75% | 25.15% |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( | 49.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% | 71.58% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( | 19.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( | 51.85% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% | 34.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% | 70.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.15% |