Major League Soccer
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Luis Suarez
4'
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Luis Suarez
11'
-
Robert Taylor
29'
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Diego Gomez
51'
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Lionel Messi
57'
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Lionel Messi
62'
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Leonardo Campana
83'
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Noah Allen
86'
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Robin Jansson
33'
Inter Miami vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result
Inter Miami
39.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
25.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Orlando City
34.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
55.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
48.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
29.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
70.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
14.48%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
85.52%
▼
(-0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5
75.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
24.04%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
41.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
58.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5
73.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
26.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
38.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
61.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Inter Miami
39.53%
Draw
25.5%
Orlando City
34.97%
Inter Miami
1-0
@
9.1%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.53%
2-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.53%
Draw
1-1
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
Orlando City
0-1
@
8.47%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.97%
1-2 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.97%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Rodrigo Schlegel
60'
-
Rodrigo Schlegel
60'
-
Duncan McGuire
66'
-
Duncan McGuire
66'
-
Robin Jansson
90'+1'
-
Robin Jansson
90'+1'
-
Tomas Aviles
23'
-
Tomas Aviles
23'
-
Benjamin Cremaschi
31'
-
Benjamin Cremaschi
31'
-
David Ruiz
52'
-
David Ruiz
52'
-
David Ruiz
54'
-
David Ruiz
54'
-
DeAndre Yedlin
55'
-
DeAndre Yedlin
55'
-
Dixon Arroyo
78'
-
Dixon Arroyo
78'
Major League Soccer
-
Leonardo Campana
57'
-
Leonardo Campana
57'
-
Ercan Kara
19'
-
Ercan Kara
19'
-
Martin Ojeda
68'
-
Martin Ojeda
68'
-
Rafael Santos
86'
-
Rafael Santos
86'
Major League Soccer
-
Leonardo Campana
1'
-
Gonzalo Higuain
38'
-
Gonzalo Higuain
52'
-
Ariel Lassiter
56'
-
Ercan Kara
71'
Major League Soccer
-
Kyle Smith
45'+3'
-
Damion Lowe
90'+2'
-
Bryce Duke
52'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
27
-
Robin Jansson
51'
-
Rodolfo Pizarro
63'
-
Christian Makoun
85'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
22
-
Antonio Carlos
45'+1'
-
Junior Urso
56'
-
Oriol Rosell
85'
-
Kieran Gibbs
66'
-
Rodolfo Pizarro
68'