Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
5 - 0
Orlando City

Suarez (4', 11'), Taylor (29'), Messi (57', 62')
Gomez (51'), Campana (83'), Allen (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Jansson (33')

Reaction

Inter Miami CF forward Lionel Messi looks on during the second half against Orlando City at Chase Stadium on March 2, 2024

Lionel Messi scores 500th career league goal in big Inter Miami win

Inter Miami forward Lionel Messi scores his 500th career league goal in Saturday's commanding 5-0 victory over Orlando City.

Mar 3, 19:37

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Cavalry
Tuesday, February 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Orlando City
39.53% ( -0.02)	25.5% ( -0.01)	34.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88% (

0.04)

48.12% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

0.04)

70.28% (

-0.04)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

0.01)

24.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

0.01)

58.31% (

-0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

0.04)

26.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

0.05)

61.77% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 39.53%

Orlando City 34.97%

Draw 25.5%

Inter Miami	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.97%