Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 48.87% ( | 24.99% ( | 26.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( | 20.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( | 52.82% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( | 33.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( | 70.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.14% |