Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 45.88% ( | 24.12% | 30% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( | 43.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( | 65.91% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( | 19.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( | 50.78% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( | 27.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( | 62.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.93% Total : 30% |