Major League Soccer

Oct 29, 2023 at 10pm UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Portland 1-3 Houston
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
57.49% ( 0.13)	21.61% ( -0.04)	20.89% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.6% (

0.04)

40.4% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

0.05)

62.78% (

-0.05)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

0.05)

13.85% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

0.11)

41.22% (

-0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.07)

32.97% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.07)

69.55% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 57.49%

Real Salt Lake 20.89%

Draw 21.61%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.49%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.89%