Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
1 - 1
Houston

Lappalainen (90+6', 90+6')
Piette (33'), Piette (33')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Artur (10', 10')
Ibrahim (18'), Ibrahim (18'), Bartlow (56'), Bartlow (56'), Carrasquilla (62'), Carrasquilla (62'), Quinones (84'), Quinones (84'), Escobar (90+3'), Baird (90+3'), Escobar (90+3'), Baird (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Houston Dynamo
47.89% ( -0.01)	25.48% ( 0.01)	26.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.56% (

-0.02)

51.44% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

-0.02)

73.25% (

0.02)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.01)

21.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.02)

54.53% (

0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

-0)

34.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3% (

-0)

70.7% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 47.9%

Houston Dynamo 26.63%

Draw 25.48%

CF Montreal	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.63%