Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Hector Herrera 13' goal
  • Hector Herrera 13' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 30' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 30' yellowcard
  • Erik Sviatchenko 36' yellowcard
  • Erik Sviatchenko 36' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 44' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 44' goal
  • Corey Baird 49' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 49' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 52' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 52' yellowcard
  • Micael 60' yellowcard
  • Micael 60' yellowcard
  • Ivan Franco 73' goal
  • Ivan Franco 73' goal
  • Aliyu Ibrahim 84' goal
  • Aliyu Ibrahim 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Raposo 2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Raposo 2'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 24'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 24'
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 90' (OG)
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 90' (OG)

Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston 1 - 1 St Louis City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Amine Bassi

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 1 - 2 Vancouver
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Brian White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 49.22% (+0.07)
Draw 24.18% (-0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps 26.59% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.92% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.98% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.01% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.68% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.32% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.85% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.15% (+0.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.76% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.84% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.16% (-0.01)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.16% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 32.5% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 67.49% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 49.22%
Draw 24.18%
Vancouver Whitecaps 26.59%
Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.78% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
Vancouver Whitecaps
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.59%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
6
2
HT : 4 4
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Pedro Vite 1' goal
  • Pedro Vite 1' goal
  • Julian Gressel 18' goal
  • Julian Gressel 18' goal
  • Brian White 46' goal
  • Brian White 46' goal
  • Julian Gressel 59' goal
  • Julian Gressel 59' goal
  • Sebastian Berhalter 88' goal
  • Sebastian Berhalter 88' goal
  • Ryan Gauld 90'+5' goal
  • Ryan Gauld 90'+5' goal
  • goal Corey Baird 8'
  • goal Corey Baird 8'
  • goal Amine Bassi 16'
  • goal Amine Bassi 16'
Major League Soccer
Aug 6, 2022 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Cavallini 78' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gauld 81' yellowcard
  • Simon Becher 89' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 90'+2' goal
  • goal Fabrice Picault 6'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 53'
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2022 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Darwin Quintero 33' goal
  • Darwin Quintero 50' goal
  • Thorleifur Ulfarsson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Cavallini 14'
  • yellowcard Javain Brown 28'
  • yellowcard Ranko Veselinovic 80'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 37
Sep 30, 2021 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Michael Baldisimo 47'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 55'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Jul 21, 2021 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Rose 24' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 42'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 56'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Picault 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 2.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Memo Rodriguez 8' goal
  • Derrick Jones 22' yellowcard
  • Joe Corona 32' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Urruti 42' goal
  • Boniek Garcia 82' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Cavallini 21'
  • yellowcard Janio Bikel 52'
  • goal Deiber Caicedo 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Baldisimo 81'