Major League Soccer

Sep 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 1
Houston

Russell (7' pen., 7' pen.), Agade (45+6', 45+6')
Radoja (34'), Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6'), Salloi (90+6')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Hadebe (45+9', 45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83'), Caicedo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Nashville
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 4-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
57.04% ( -1.19)	22.6% ( 0.34)	20.35% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

-0.29)

45.57% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

-0.28)

67.9% (

0.28)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26% (

-0.5)

15.74% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.16% (

-0.92)

44.84% (

0.92)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

0.72)

36.45% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

0.72)

73.23% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 57.04%

Houston Dynamo 20.35%

Draw 22.6%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.04%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.35%