Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 53.54% ( | 22.97% ( | 23.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( | 43.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( | 65.86% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( | 16.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( | 45.68% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( | 68.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.49% |