Major League Soccer

Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 1
St Louis City

Pulido (31', 31', 44', 44')
Pulido (71'), Pulido (71'), Melia (86'), Melia (86'), Espinoza (90+7'), Espinoza (90+7')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Adeniran (22', 22')
Alm (81'), Alm (81'), Klauss (89'), Klauss (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Dallas
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
70.66% ( 0.99)	17.16% ( -0.47)	12.18% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 53.51% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

0.93)

36.35% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

1.01)

58.48% (

-1)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

0.48)

9.16% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.96% (

1.12)

31.04% (

-1.11)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.9% (

-0.19)

41.1% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35% (

-0.17)

77.65% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 70.65%

St Louis City 12.18%

Draw 17.16%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.65%	1-1 @ 8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.16%	1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.18%