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Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2023 at 1am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Los Angeles
0 - 1
Salt Lake


Sanchez (39'), Sanchez (39'), Olivera (56'), Olivera (56'), Tillman (62'), Tillman (62'), Bogusz (67'), Bogusz (67'), Palacios (78'), Palacios (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arango (72', 72')
Gomez (51'), Gomez (51'), Rubin (86'), Rubin (86'), Palacio (89'), Palacio (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 13.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawReal Salt Lake
68.55% (-0.441 -0.44)17.48% (0.213 0.21)13.97% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (-0.502 -0.5)33.31% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (-0.579 -0.58)55.08% (0.582 0.58)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)8.85% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.7% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)30.3% (0.559 0.56)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 68.55%
    Real Salt Lake 13.97%
    Draw 17.48%
Los Angeles FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.69% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 68.55%
1-1 @ 7.89% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.48%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 13.97%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Salt Lake

Los Angeles FC
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Real Salt Lake
5.6%
18
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30am
Sep 13, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 30
Los Angeles
3-2
Salt Lake
Arango (30')
Edwards (23'), Duke (54'), Ibeagha (90+3')

Datkovic (22'), Luiz (45+1')
Jul 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 16
Los Angeles
2-1
Salt Lake
Vela (79')
Murillo (62')

Luiz (45+1'), Kreilach (50'), Herrera (77'), Besler (87')