Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.