Major League Soccer

Aug 31, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Moreno (13', 13'), Mora (64', 64')
Chara (34'), Chara (34'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arango (82', 83')
Mastroeni (35'), Mastroeni (35'), Ojeda (45+1'), Ojeda (45+1'), Vera (86'), Vera (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-3 Vancouver
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-3 Houston
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
55.31% ( 0.01)	22.52%	22.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

-0.01)

42.93% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67% (

-0.01)

65.33% (

0.01)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

15.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.78% (

44.22% (

-0)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

-0.01)

33.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

-0.01)

69.81% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 55.31%

Real Salt Lake 22.17%

Draw 22.52%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.17%