Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
0 - 0
Los Angeles

Markanich (89'), Markanich (89'), Ostrak (90+2'), Ostrak (90+2')

Palencia (53'), Palencia (53'), Acosta (84'), Acosta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Houston 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
34.25% ( -0.05)	23.01% ( -0.02)	42.73% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 64.66% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.51% (

0.07)

36.49% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.36% (

0.08)

58.63% (

-0.08)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

0.01)

21.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

0.01)

54.58% (

-0.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.05)

17.61% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

0.09)

48.19% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 34.25%

Los Angeles FC 42.73%

Draw 23.01%

St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.02% Total : 42.73%