Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.