Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (23', 24', 75', 75'), Hollingshead (33', 33'), Tillman (84', 84')
Sanchez (7'), Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90'), Acosta (90')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Sharp (25', 25'), Yoshida (59', 59')
Cuevas (43'), Cuevas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
66.19% ( 1.04)	18.04% ( -0.46)	15.77% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 60.69% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68% (

1.12)

31.99% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.44% (

1.3)

53.56% (

-1.3)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

0.54)

9.03% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.26% (

1.29)

30.74% (

-1.3)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

0.04)

33.28% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

0.04)

69.9% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 66.19%

Los Angeles Galaxy 15.77%

Draw 18.04%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.19%	1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.04%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.77%